

| Subject: | Re: Zetec diesel |
| From: | Wesley Pegden |
| Date: | Wed, 20 Feb 2008 12:00:47 -0500 |
I thought part of the problem with the clean diesels was that standards for U.S. diesel fuel aren't yet sufficient for their operation? I just bring this up because if it's the case, then importing these things might not be a good idea. -Wes Jim Akiba wrote: > No. In fact nobody has a clean diesel in production(clean meaning 50 > state legal). Daimler, and VAG which together are the BlueTec Diesel > marketing coalition showed T2B5(Tier 2 bin 5) diesels at this year's > NAIAS, but it is still up in the air if they are going to be allowed > to sell them to only 45 states, or if the CARB adopting states will > allow sales too. If they aren't allowed to sell to 50 states, it'll > likely crush or at least stall further clean diesel efforts in the > near future. > > Jim Akiba > > On 2/20/08, Anthony Egeln <regnsuzanne@yahoo.com> wrote: > >> Jim, >> >> Thanks for your usual excellent insightful and thoughtful reply. >> >> But all politics aside........technically is the TDCi engine considered "clean diesel" in its current form of development? >> >> Thanks, Anthony >> '89 Syncro GL (Hidalgo) >> >> >> Jim Akiba <syncrolist@bostig.com> wrote: The TDCi gets great reviews, I've never seen or driven one. Aside >> from the immediate problem of them being unavailable in the US, so are >> their parts. As far as when or if it'll come to the states, it's a >> pretty sure bet that any version of it won't be before 2012 if ever at >> all. In 04 when we first got rolling with the zetecs I thought more >> like 2009, and there was lot's of talk of both biodiesel and >> cellulosic ethanol as alternative fuels. I think perhaps more telling >> was that the federal government was also talking clean diesel(from >> mobile sources). But now in 08, and pretty much as of early 07, >> serious talk of clean diesel as a bullet point or pillar for policy >> and initiatives like 20 in 10 has completely disappeared, replaced by >> ethanol/cellulosic ethanol, and the rest of the discussion going to >> GHG(green house gas) emissions rights and bickering over >> CAFE(Corporate Average Fuel Economy) and mileage requirement >> determination. >> >> There is clean diesel reflected in the EPA budgets, but for clean >> diesel it is fairly low, isn't slated to grow at all for 08-09, and is >> almost entirely for Non-road diesels. Some of the efforts might >> trickle down to mobile sources, but they aren't even really spending >> to meet CA non-road diesel emissions perhaps because there are so many >> unkowns when it comes to how the state/fed will work out their >> emissions restriction rights. Since this is case it seems the >> expensive to achieve CA regulations won't get targeted unless they >> force automakers to do so, or unless they do so voluntarily. The >> biggest active clean diesel initiative I know of is for diesel >> retrofit for heavy duty diesels.. and even then, it's voluntary. >> >> I never thought that watching politics could yield so much info about >> cars, but it makes sense since it almost directly affects the market, >> and indeed the players in the market affect the politics. >> >> Just as quickly as diesel/bio-diesel interest is proliferating in >> alternative fuel proponent communities, the cost risks associated with >> meeting the equally fast moving anti-pollution legislation prevents >> them from infiltrating. I think it is likely to continue to do so >> until someone has a breakthrough success with clean diesel at >> substantially lower cost than what is available either now or perhaps >> even what's possible within the next 2-3 years, but I hope to be >> proven wrong. >> >> I been developing a sinking feeling that the real motivator that best >> explains the departure from clean diesel interest isn't just what we >> know, but the fear of what we don't yet. The risks are high for >> automakers financially, since if they invest heavily in clean diesel >> and CA wins the right to control is own GHG laws it could easily deny >> them the right to sell into the biggest markets in the country(hmm >> that problem seems so familiar to me for some reason?) if the >> restrictions are ahead of development. Furthermore, CA isn't going to >> feel like it needs to help on the clean diesel front, since it is >> working hard now to legislate and force fleet overturn in CA, which is >> their way of saying "shut up, we're forcing people to buy your new >> cars" to automakers, while also actually having the effect they want >> and pulling all of the ancient gross polluters that never rust off the >> roads. Of course this means much of the legal side of things is up in >> the air still, and we'll pretty much have to wait and see how it pans >> out. In the development cycle the last thing you want is a moving >> target since it can by definition stop being a cycle altogether. >> Actually that's pretty much true all the time unless the point of the >> exercise is to show off how well you can hit a moving target, or if >> you have plenty of chances to hit it(which requires time/resources).. >> which nobody has or will part with easily. >> >> So despite the appeal of the diesels and their pros, I wouldn't hold >> my breath until 2010 for the first noticeable resumption in serious >> clean diesel policy, since 2010 is when the 4% per year CAFE >> requirement kicks in... especially if other technologies don't pan >> out(which doesn't appear to be happening, enzymes for cellulosic >> ethanol production have been cut in cost by 10 times in the last >> couple years). If clean diesel has a cost breakthrough AND emissions >> legislation don't continue to ramp at the same pace AND the other >> options for reductions in fuel usage fall short, then we might see >> it.. but that's a lot of ifs. Actually the whitehouse version of the >> 07 Energy/Safety bill was more aggressive than the one that congress >> passed, and would perhaps have helped introduce the need for clean >> diesels sooner if ever by making it even harder to meet the CAFE >> requirements without them. >> >> whoa that was long... >> >> To answer the questions shortly, definitively, and with opinion: >> >> better than 30? Yes. >> >> know much about it? Not really. But it will fit. >> >> have contact at ford, to ask about? Yes, and the answer in early 06 >> was still "No current plans". I'd be VERY surprised if it's changed >> since then given how things have been moving. >> >> We might get the chance to go to sweden and convert a vanagon to a >> TDCi to see for ourselves if it can be done.. but it's just talk and >> mostly dream at this point, there is no timeline for us even doing it, >> and it wouldn't actually in the end make financial sense from the >> business or customer point of view, but it would be cool. >> >> Jim Akiba >> >> >> >> >> >> >> >> On 2/19/08, Anthony Egeln wrote: >> >>> Wow! One review done in the UK says the Zetec Diesel Focus averages 58 mpg...and their highway best was 75 mpg! >>> >>> Now the Focus is a small car, but maybe the vanagon conversion could do better than 30? >>> >>> Bostig fellas...know anything about this engine? >>> >>> Anyone have a contact at Ford that could inquiry about future US models? >>> >>> Anthony >>> '89 Syncro GL (Hidalgo) >>> >>> >>> Allan Streib wrote: On a whim I googled "Zetec diesel" and it seems that there is such a >>> beast. 1.6l "TDCi" a/k/a the DV6. Are these available at all in the >>> US? Would they work with the Bostig kit? >>> >>> Allan >>> -- >>> 1991 Vanagon GL >>> >>> >>> >>> --------------------------------- >>> Be a better friend, newshound, and know-it-all with Yahoo! Mobile. Try it now. >>> >>> >> >> --------------------------------- >> Never miss a thing. Make Yahoo your homepage. >> >> > >
Have something to add on this topic today? Revive this thread in the forum »